Trump May Shift Ukraine Policy Amid War with Iran

20.03.2026

Donald Trump may change US policy toward Ukraine, potentially reducing support if he seeks to punish Europe amid possible setbacks in the Middle East.

US President Donald Trump stands behind the podium
Donald Trump / YouGov

The Economist reported this in a detailed analytical article.

Why Trump Could Change His Position on Ukraine

Journalists suggest that a weakened president may become more rigid and prone to radical foreign policy decisions.

“He may let Ukraine go to punish Europe.”

In this context, Ukraine appears as a potential leverage tool in US relations with Europe. The article warns such steps could have broader consequences:

“This would further undermine America’s alliances, to the delight of China and Russia.”

How the War with Iran Affects the US

According to the publication, the war is undermining Trump’s key strengths:

“Even a short war will change the course of his second term. A war that lasts for months could lead to his downfall.”

This includes losing control over the political agenda, weakening influence over allies, and declining domestic support.

Risks of the War with Iran

The war between the United States and Iran is dragging on and already causing negative effects:

  • oil prices are rising due to risks around the Strait of Hormuz;
  • allies show reluctance to support the US in the conflict;
  • criticism of Trump is growing within the Republican Party.

Trump has also backed significant spending on the military campaign against Iran, fueling further debate in the US.

Context

On March 1, 2026, Donald Trump launched a large-scale military operation against Iran after sustained lobbying from key Middle Eastern allies. The strikes killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and dozens of senior officials.

Ahead of the US-Israeli attack, Trump and his advisers underestimated risks to energy markets. They viewed a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and disruption of commercial shipping as a short-term issue that would not hinder the military mission.

Earlier, The Ukrainian Review reported that Trump has been paying less attention to negotiations to end Russia’s war against Ukraine, focusing instead on the conflict with Iran.