Stubb Admits Putin Is Unlikely to Agree to Peace Deal

27.04.2026

President of Finland Alexander Stubb commented on the course of the Russia–Ukraine war. He stated that Russia is suffering significant losses. At the same time, he acknowledged that Russian President Vladimir Putin is unlikely to make concessions to reach a peace agreement. Stubb also reflected on Ukraine’s experience in the context of NATO.

President of Finland Alexander Stubb during a speech
President of Finland Alexander Stubb during a speech/screenshot from the video Clash Report

Course of the War

Alexander Stubb said that his outlook on a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine has changed. Previously, he viewed the possibility of ending the war through negotiations with optimism. However, he is now less convinced that Vladimir Putin is willing to compromise. According to Stubb, the Kremlin leader is deliberately using delaying tactics instead of engaging in genuine peace efforts.

Moreover, the Finnish president emphasized that Russian forces continue to suffer heavy losses on the battlefield. He noted that, on average, five Russian soldiers are killed for every Ukrainian casualty. In addition, Stubb highlighted the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone warfare. According to him, Ukrainian forces carry out drone strikes in 95% of cases.

“In the past four months – and sorry for being morbid – Ukraine has killed or wounded between 30 to 35,000 Russian soldiers per month,” Stubb said while commenting on the frontline situation.

NATO Security Guarantees

Stubb also addressed the issue of NATO security guarantees. He stated that Ukraine’s army currently serves as the most reliable guarantee of the country’s security. In his view, during a full-scale war, the strongest safeguard lies in having around 800,000 well-armed troops, along with the ability to conduct modern warfare effectively. Furthermore, he stressed that no NATO member state possesses the same level of real combat experience as Ukraine. Therefore, Ukraine’s military capabilities play a crucial role not only for its own defense but also for European security more broadly.

“I think we Europeans have to understand that we need Ukraine more than Ukraine needs us. I think the tide has actually turned,” the Finnish president said.

Earlier, The Ukrainian Review reported that Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk is not fully confident that the United States will remain a reliable security guarantor for Europe within NATO, particularly in the event of potential Russian aggression.

Author: Yuliia Bazhenova | View all publications by the author